On Modelling Migrant Behavior Driven by Imitation
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-7092.2014.03.03Keywords:
Migrant behavior, Imitation theory, Replicator dynamics, Social welfareAbstract
This paper studies the evolutionary dynamics of migration. We argue that, under bounded rationality, the strategic foundations of the migrant behavior are based in the imitation of peers. We show that any migratory flow can be modeled from a dynamical system, whose parameters reflect the social and economic policies implemented by the decision maker and the rules of the imitative process followed by the population. Education or technological innovation subsidies can lead to an increasing flow of skilled workers to the country in which this policy is more intensively developed. Impact of such subsidies on migration processes can be easily analyzed based on our model. We show that an economy may avoid skilled workers losses as a result of migration flows, only if the number of local firms investing in research and development exceeds a certain threshold value. Moreover, if this value is exceeded, such an economy is attending a positive process of imitation of skilled workers.References
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/003355303321675455
Sandholm, W. H. (2010), Population Games and Evolutionary Dynamics. MIT Press, Cambridge.
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Todaro, M. P.(1969), ""A Model of Labor Migration and Urban Unemployement in Less Developed Countries"", American Economic Review 69, pp. 486-499.
Todaro, M. P. and J. Harris (1970), ""Migration Unemployement and Developement: A Two Sectors Analysis"", American Economic Review 60 (1), pp.126-42.
Weibull, J. (1995), Evolutionary Game Theory, The Mit Press.
Winters, P.; A. de Janvry and E. Sadoulet, (2001), ""Family and Community Networks in Mexico-U.S. Migration"", The Journal of Human Resourches 36(1), pp. 159-184.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3069674
Wübben, W.; Wangeheim, F.V. (2008) WW Instant customer base analysis: Manegerial heuristics often “get a ride.” Journal of Marketing 72(3) 82-93.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2010.11.004
Bauer, T. G., Epstein and I. N. Gang, (2002), ""Herd Effects or Migration Networks? The Location Choice of Mexican Immigrants in the U.S."", IZA Discussion Paper, N. 551
Bauer, T. and K. F. Zimmermann, (1997), ""Network Migration of Ethnic Germans"", International Migration Review 1(1), pp. 143-149.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2547262
Bertrand M.; E. Luttmer and S. Mullainathan (2000), ""Network Effects and Network Cultures"" Quarterly Journal of Economics 115, pp. 1019-1055.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/003355300554971
Borges et al. Bo Borges, Bernhard; Goldstein, Daniel G.; Ortmann, Andreas; Gigerenzer, Gerd Gigerenzer, Gerd Todd, Peter M. Can ignorance beat the stock market? . Evolution and cognition., (pp. 59-72). New York, NY, US: Oxford University Press, The ABC Research Groupxv. (1999).
Borjas, G. J. (1990), Friends or Strangers: The Impact of Immigrants on the US Economy, Basic Books 41.
Borjas, G. J. (1994), ""The Economics of Immigration"", The Journal of Economic Literature 32(4), pp. 1667-1717.
Boyd, M. (1989), ""Family and Personal Networks in International Migration: Recent Developments and New Agendas"", International Migration Review 23(3), Special Silver Anniversary Issue: International Migration In Assessment for the 90’s, pp. 638-670.
Carlsson, S. (1979), ""Chronology and composition of Swedish emigration to America"", in Runblom, Harald, and Hans Norman (eds.) (1976). From Sweden to America: A History of the Migration. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.
Carrera, E. J. S. (2009), ”The Evolutionary Game of Poverty Traps†, Quaderni Del Dipartimento di Economia Politica - Universita’ degli Studi di Siena, no. 555.
Coniglio, N. D. (2003), ""Migropolis: Migration Networks and Formation of Ethnic Clusters in Cities"", SNF Working Paper, 46/03.
Cressman, R., Morrison, W. G. and J. F. Wen (1998), ”On the Evolutionary Dynamics of Crime”, The Canadian Journal of Economics vol. 31(5), pp. 1101-1117.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/136461
Duflo. E. and Saez E. (2003), ""The Role of Information and Social Interactions in Retirement Plan Decisions: Evidence From a Randomized Experiment"", Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, pp. 815-842.
Durlauf, S. (2004), Neighborhood effects, In: Handbook of Regional and Urban Economics Vol. 4, J.V. Henderson and J-F. Thisse (Eds.), Amsterdam: Elsevier Science, pp. 2173-2242.
Friedman, D. (1998), ”On Economic Applications of Evolutionary Game Theory”, Journal of Evolutionary Economics, vol. 8, pp. 15-43.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s001910050054
Glaeser, E.; B. Sacerdote and J.A. Scheinkman (1999), ""Crime and Social Interactions"", Quarterly Journal of Economics 111, pp. 507-548.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2946686
Graham B. S. (2008), ""Identifying Social Interactions through Excess Variance Contrasts"", Econometrica 76(3), pp. 643-660.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0262.2008.00850.x
Gigerenzer, G.; Gaissmaier, W. (2011) GG Heuristic decision making. Annual Review of Psicology, 62, 451-482.
Gigerenzer, G.; Goldstein, D.G (2011) Getall The recognition heuristic: A decade of research. Judement and decision Making 6, 100-121.
Hart, R. A. (1975), ""Interregional Economic Migration: Some Theoretical Considerations"", Journal of Regional Science 15(2), pp. 127-138.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9787.1975.tb00915.x
Heitmueller, A. (2003), ""Coordination Failures in Network Migration"", IZA (Institute for the Study of Labor) Discussion Papers 770 43.
Hofbauer, J. and K. Sigmund (2003), ""Evolutionary game dynamics"", Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society (New Series) 40, pp. 479-519.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1090/S0273-0979-03-00988-1
Kroft (2008), ""Takeup, Social Multipliers and Optimal Social Insurance"", Journal of Public Economics 92, pp. 722-737.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2007.06.011
Ljungmark, L. (1979), Swedish exodus. Southern Illinois University Press.
Ljungmark, L. (1992), The push- and pull-factors behind the Swedish emigration to America, Canada and Australia. In Emmer.P.C and Magnus Mörner. European Expansion and Migration. BergPublischers, Inc.
Langley, P.C. (1974), ""The Spatial Allocation of Migrants in England and Wales"", Scottish Journal of Political Economy (21)3. pp. 259-77.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9485.1974.tb00196.x
Marmefelt, T. (2004), ”Institutional Endowments and the Lithuanian Holdings as Innovative Network: A Problem of Institutional Compatibility in the Baltic Sea Area, The Review of Austrian Economics, vol. 17(1), pp. 87-113.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/B:RAEC.0000011338.64055.20
Moretti, E. (1999), ""Social Networks and Migrations: Italy 1876-1913"", International Migration Review 33 (3), pp. 640-657.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2547529
Munshi, K., (2001), ""Identification of Network Effects: Mexican Migrants in the U.S. Labor Market"", paper presented at NEUDC conference, Boston, MA.
Munshi K., (2003), ""Networks in the Modern Economy: Mexican Migrants in the U.S. Labour Market"", Quarterly Journal of Economics 118 (2), pp. 549-599.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1162/003355303321675455
Sandholm, W. H. (2010), Population Games and Evolutionary Dynamics. MIT Press, Cambridge.
SCB: Statistiska Centralbyrn (1969). Historisk statistik fr Sverige. Allmnna Frlaget.
Todaro, M. P.(1969), ""A Model of Labor Migration and Urban Unemployement in Less Developed Countries"", American Economic Review 69, pp. 486-499.
Todaro, M. P. and J. Harris (1970), ""Migration Unemployement and Developement: A Two Sectors Analysis"", American Economic Review 60 (1), pp.126-42.
Weibull, J. (1995), Evolutionary Game Theory, The Mit Press.
Winters, P.; A. de Janvry and E. Sadoulet, (2001), ""Family and Community Networks in Mexico-U.S. Migration"", The Journal of Human Resourches 36(1), pp. 159-184.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/3069674
Wübben, W.; Wangeheim, F.V. (2008) WW Instant customer base analysis: Manegerial heuristics often “get a ride.” Journal of Marketing 72(3) 82-93.
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Published
2014-03-05
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Accinelli, E., Carrera, E. J. S., & Salas, O. (2014). On Modelling Migrant Behavior Driven by Imitation. Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, 3, 15–23. https://doi.org/10.6000/1929-7092.2014.03.03
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